FAQ
What is the definition of a recession?
A recession is defined as a period of two successive quarters ( ie 6 months) that experience a downturn in economic growth. This is normally visible in GDP, employment figures, industrial production and retail sales.
What’s the difference between a recession and a depression?
Depression is a general word for an extended period of economic recession. America suffered the Great Depression in the 1930’s.
How long does a recession last?
The NBER states a recession is a period of decline “lasting more than a few months“. An economy is said to contract at the start of a recession as part of the natural business cycle. History shows that this cycle may be short or continue for years, risking a depression.
How will I personally be affected by a recession?
Periods of low US economic growth are risky times for job security. Large companies may lay off employees in a move to reduce costs.
What are the main indicators of a recession?
Recessions are always impossible to predict reliably but here are some indicators which may predict potential turmoil ahead:
- an unexpected drop in the stock market
- the rising price of gold
- the frequency of the word ‘recession’ in the media
- falling housing market
Past indicators of recessions in the USA are the taxi test, the hemline test and the number of cranes on the skyline.